Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.052868 0.057399 0.061987 0.066974 0.072233 0.077608 0.083508
2025-06-01 0.045206 0.051798 0.058714 0.066484 0.074942 0.083844 0.093894
2025-06-08 0.041107 0.049334 0.058230 0.068501 0.079970 0.092322 0.106570
2025-06-15 0.037444 0.046879 0.057360 0.069757 0.083905 0.099442 0.117685
2025-06-22 0.034188 0.044521 0.056289 0.070512 0.087062 0.105546 0.127583
2025-06-29 0.031105 0.042065 0.054847 0.070607 0.089274 0.110442 0.136022
2025-07-06 0.029500 0.041213 0.055151 0.072630 0.093636 0.117753 0.147217
2025-07-13 0.026825 0.038830 0.053428 0.072065 0.094806 0.121254 0.153926
2025-07-20 0.024832 0.037150 0.052432 0.072262 0.096791 0.125642 0.161633
2025-07-27 0.023441 0.036140 0.052181 0.073297 0.099732 0.131132 0.170634
2025-08-03 0.022468 0.035603 0.052470 0.074960 0.103415 0.137508 0.180711
2025-08-10 0.019922 0.032780 0.049659 0.072556 0.101934 0.137531 0.183071
2025-08-17 0.018286 0.031143 0.048363 0.072086 0.102899 0.140605 0.189239
2025-08-24 0.016795 0.029618 0.047140 0.071647 0.103861 0.143656 0.195390
2025-08-31 0.016336 0.029556 0.047889 0.073808 0.108172 0.150908 0.206772
2025-09-07 0.015636 0.029088 0.048040 0.075148 0.111413 0.156831 0.216543
2025-09-14 0.014816 0.028385 0.047819 0.075952 0.113936 0.161849 0.225208
2025-09-21 0.013844 0.027382 0.047120 0.076056 0.115508 0.165644 0.232344
2025-09-28 0.013540 0.027410 0.047889 0.078188 0.119781 0.172916 0.243904
2025-10-05 0.012485 0.026161 0.046741 0.077593 0.120369 0.175428 0.249433
2025-10-12 0.011725 0.025345 0.046188 0.077801 0.122014 0.179295 0.256689
2025-10-19 0.011246 0.024967 0.046267 0.078891 0.124847 0.184709 0.265938
2025-10-26 0.010962 0.024902 0.046809 0.080642 0.128593 0.191337 0.276782